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Offshore RMB and Australian dollar rose slightly. Affected by the news, USD/offshore RMB fell 0.1% to 7.2696. AUD/USD rose 0.2% to 0.6381. A foreign exchange trader in Asia said that the small leveraged account that shorted AUD/USD on Wednesday also closed its position. NZD/USD rose 0.1% to 0.5792.CITIC Securities: The interest rate of the 10-year US bond may show an upward trend due to factors such as monetary policy next year. According to the CITIC Securities Research Report, historically, the actual short-term interest rate expectation in the interest rate reduction cycle since 1983 is usually the main driving force for the downward trend of the 10-year US bond interest rate, while the term premium may rise in the interest rate reduction cycle due to factors such as supply and demand, deficit concerns and external shocks. Looking forward to the future, it is expected that the short-term 4.0% will be the support level of the 10-year US bond interest rate, and the 10-year US bond interest rate may show an upward trend next year due to factors such as monetary policy and "Trump transaction".Japan's net foreign investment in Japanese stocks in the week of December 6 was 482.3 billion yen, with the previous value of-607.7 billion yen. Japan's net foreign investment in Japanese bonds in the week of December 6 was 1,006.4 billion yen, with the previous value of 176.1 billion yen. Japan bought a net foreign bond of-640.8 billion yen in the week of December 6, with the previous value of 922.4 billion yen. In the week of December 6th, Japan bought foreign stocks net-954.8 billion yen, with the previous value of-544.7 billion yen.

The number of employed people in Australia increased by 35,613 in November, and it is estimated to be 25,000.Market News: South Korean President Yin Xiyue may release a recorded public speech.On the morning of December 12, 2024, the People's Court of Tongcheng County, Hubei Province publicly pronounced the case of Liu Gang, the former full-time vice chairman of Chengdu Football Association, for corruption, bribery and unit bribery, and sentenced the defendant Liu Gang to seven years in prison for corruption and fined 400,000 yuan. Sentenced to two years in prison for accepting bribes and fined 200,000 yuan; He was sentenced to one year's imprisonment and fined RMB 100,000 for bribery by a company, and decided to execute eight years' imprisonment and fined RMB 700,000. The property obtained from corruption shall be recovered according to law and returned to the injured unit respectively; The property obtained by taking bribes shall be recovered according to law and turned over to the state treasury.

Huatai Securities: It is expected that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25bp in December, but the path of interest rate cut in 2025 is highly uncertain. Huatai Securities said that the overall inflation in November in the United States was in line with expectations, and the slight cooling of service inflation partially eased the market's concerns about inflation rebound. It is expected that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25bp in December, but the path of interest rate cut in 2025 is highly uncertain. Recently, the overall economic momentum of the United States has rebounded: from September to November, the PMI of Markit manufacturing in the United States has rebounded for three consecutive months; After the election, enterprises, especially small enterprises, are expected to improve, and the recent NFIB SME confidence index has rebounded significantly; The latest Atlanta GDP Now shows that the fourth quarter GDP growth rate of the United States is 3.3% year-on-year. However, considering that the unemployment rate data rebounded in November, and the recent inflation is still relatively moderate, we expect that the recent data may not prevent the Fed from cutting interest rates at its December meeting next week. However, in 2025, the growth and inflation path of the United States was disturbed by the Trump policy, and the Federal Reserve may "make a camera choice" on the basis of watching the overall economic trend. There is uncertainty in the path of interest rate cut in 2025.Guotai Junan: The long-term incremental "option" brought by humanoid robots is expected to help the valuation of the rare earth sector rise. When looking forward to the strategy of the rare earth sector in 2025, Guotai Junan said that the market had expected that with the slowdown in the growth of core demand power such as new energy vehicles and wind power in the future, the demand for rare earth markets is under downward pressure. However, we expect that the rising consumption of magnetic materials for new energy vehicles and the warming demand for wind power are still expected to support the basic demand growth, and the demand for equipment renewal that began to land in 2024 is expected to become a new driving force for rare earth demand. On the supply side, an orderly pattern of domestic supply has been established, with many overseas planning increments but slow actual volume, and continuous supply-side constraints. In addition, the long-term incremental "options" brought by humanoid robots are also expected to help the valuation of the plate rise.Huatai Securities looks forward to the communication industry in 2025: embrace the trend of AI/ satellite industry and allocate core assets. When looking forward to the communication industry in 2025, Huatai Securities said that it is optimistic about three main investment lines: 1) Continue to embrace the industry trend, and with the progress of commercialization of AI computing chain and satellite Internet, we are optimistic about investment opportunities in related sub-sectors; 2) New quality productivity: low-altitude industries or the opening of provincial and municipal infrastructure construction, the domestic quantum communication industry is expected to go from 0 to 1, and the commercial aviation scene will be accelerated; 3) revaluation of core assets: with the improvement of market liquidity, leading enterprises with long-term competitiveness and performance toughness are expected to usher in opportunities for valuation improvement; In addition, the merger and reorganization of central state-owned enterprises is expected to promote more high-quality enterprises to complete the process of capitalization and play a positive role in the valuation of the sector.